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MUSIC COLUMN
Goliath Has Two Daddies!

BY ZACH DUNDAS
zdundas@wweek.com


Time Warner subsidiary Warner/WEA carries the Sex Pistols' Never Mind the Bollocks. Hello, EMI.

 

Despite its size, Time Warner hasn't exactly torn up the charts in recent years. In 1996, Warner Music Group controlled 20.9 percent of the U.S. music market. By last year, that share had shrunk to 13.7 percent.

 

Warner reported
$76 million in sales for the third quarter of '99, a drop of more than 23 percent from the
$99 million racked up in the same period of '98. Pre-merger, Warner ranked fourth in U.S. sales; EMI placed fifth.

 

EMI shareholders and artists, including the Rolling Stones and Radiohead, are lukewarm to the deal. The company's stock has not met expectations in the wake of the announcement, and EMI artists may be able to renegotiate their contracts.

 

The uproar comes because the merger --nominally a 50-50 deal--gives Warner a stronger hand in the boardroom of the newly formed super-corp.

 
"EMI...gooooood-bye!"

--Johnny Rotten, The Sex Pistols

When the former John Lydon capped the Sex Pistols' one true album with that corrosive farewell, he was just sending a snot-drenched sod-off to a label the punk-rock stuntmen ripped off. Twenty-three years later, though, the Rotten One's words take on an entirely different meaning as the world bids adieu to the old structure of the global music industry.

January's announcement of Time Warner's merger with British music giant EMI--just another step towards the formation of GlobalCorp, soon to be the world leader in everything--was much more than the wedding of two lumbering titans with disappointing sales. That the merger may have created the largest record company in the world is one thing, but the immensity of the event really hits home when you weigh some numbers:

* The new behemoth is worth around $20 billion.

* It boasts a roster of 2,500 artists.

* Those artists should release around 2,000 albums a year.

* In the name of streamlining, up to 3,000 jobs could be eliminated. As any musicians caught up in the flux of the '98 Seagrams/Polygram merger can testify, that kind of downsizing disrupts and kills album projects, scuttles deals, breaks up bands and leaves careers on ice.

* But why should the suits worry? The company owns the rights to 2 million songs. It won't run out of "content" any time soon.

* That united back catalog contains one-third of the copyrights for all published music. In the world. Ever.

* Post-merger, the happy couple should own one-quarter of the U.S. music market.

On top of those stats comes the kicker. This merger follows hot on the heals of another mega-deal, the union of Time Warner and America Online. Thus, the new entity controls not only the vast combined music holdings of Warner and EMI but America's most-powerful Internet portal, in addition to a sprawling stable of traditional media holdings.

What this essentially means is that, in the not-distant future, 20 million Americans will learn about (and hear and see and be able to buy or, hell, just download!) the latest pop darlings unleashed from the Time Warner/EMI stable when they check their e-mail. That is, if they haven't already gotten the scoop from Time Warner-controlled CNN or heard a new band's single on The Sopranos soundtrack over on HBO, or perhaps playing as the credits of the latest New Line Cinema box-office smash roll. Or maybe they'll have read a glowing review in Time, People, Entertainment Weekly or one of Time Publishing's 30 other magazines.

Thank God we held the line against Communism and its perfidious state monopolies, so these thousand flowers of free enterprise might bloom.


Radio Free America

While the kind of mass-market consolidation represented by the Time Warner/AOL/EMI pileup sometimes seems as inevitable as the march of time, there are some countervailing trends afoot.

Advocates of grassroots media received one of their best gifts in years last month. The unlikely benefactor: the Federal Communications Commission, an agency hardly known for its generous regard for the little guy. After years of agitation from free-speech advocates, the FCC slapped down complaints from the National Association of Broadcasters and approved a new class of licenses for low-power radio stations.

The ruling--which will allow for noncommercial stations with up to 100 watts of power and ranges of up to 3.5 miles--may change the face of radio. The prohibitive cost of starting a legit commercial station has long forced alternative voices into the underground world of pirate broadcasting. Now, rebels behind such efforts as California's Free Radio Berkeley, Eugene's Radio Free Cascadia and Portland's defunct Subterradio will be able to go straight if they so choose.

Given the steady dumbing-down of mainstream broadcasting, that's good. The FM dial could become much more diverse and contentious.

"There are political differences that need to be aired," says Bob Marston, a vet of pirate radio struggles in Cali who's moved to Portland and is scoping the local scene.

There will probably be a rush for frequencies when the FCC starts taking applications in May. The first legal low-power stations will most likely be on the air by fall.

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Willamette Week | originally published February 2, 2000

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